
Adam Martin
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A writer based out of Toronto, Adam Martin has covered professional sports, with an emphasis on sports gambling, for more than a decade, writing for such outlets as The Toronto Star and Sportsnet. He is an expert in UFC, while also covering NHL betting and the Stanley Cup.
Adam's Picks
Past Picks
Jack Della Maddalena
Islam Makhachev
Moneyline (-270) vs Islam Makhachev
Moneyline (-270) vs Islam Makhachev
Proj: --
Islam Makhachev is 16-1 in the UFC, and he is currently riding a 15-fight win streak as he moves up to welterweight to try and win a second title. He is one of the greatest MMA fighters of all time, and a second belt would put him in the upper echelon of champions to ever compete inside the Octagon. Jack Della Maddalena is the UFC welterweight champion, having won the title from Belal Muhammad in his last fight with an upset. But Makhachev is a big step up in competition. Look for the Russian to use his wrestling skills in this fight to take the Aussie down to the ground and beat him by submission. Take Makhachev to win at -270 on the moneyline.
Valentina Shevchenko
Weili Zhang
Moneyline (+105) vs Weili Zhang
Moneyline (+105) vs Weili Zhang
Proj: --
Weili Zhang is 36 and riding a five-fight win streak as she moves up to flyweight for the first time in an attempt to win a second UFC title. It won’t be an easy fight against Valentina Shevchenko, who is the best women’s flyweight fighter of all time, but it’s a fight I believe Zhang can win. Look for Zhang to keep this fight standing and outstrike Shevchenko on the feet to win a close decision. Go with Zhang to win this fight as a +105 underdog and claim a second UFC belt.
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield
Moneyline (-245) vs Erin Blanchfield
Moneyline (-245) vs Erin Blanchfield
Proj: --
Erin Blanchfield is only 26 years old, and she has a 7-1 UFC record. She is one of the top young fighters in the weight class and one of the most well-rounded, with great striking and grappling skills. She takes on Tracy Cortez, who has looked solid so far in the UFC as well. However, in this particular matchup, Blanchfield should have both the better striking and grappling skills, and she should be able to win this fight as a -245 favorite on the moneyline.
Randy Brown
Gabriel Bonfim
Moneyline (-198) vs Gabriel Bonfim
Moneyline (-198) vs Gabriel Bonfim
Proj: --
Gabriel Bonfim is 5-1 in the UFC and riding a three-fight win streak into this bout. He has one of the best ground games in the welterweight division and continues to improve his striking skills. Randy Brown, his opponent, is an awesome fighter who has proven himself with an impressive 14-6 UFC record. But his ground game is a flaw, and it’s one that Bonfim can exploit. Look for Bonfim to submit Brown in this fight as a -198 favorite and pick up the biggest win of his career.
Matt Schnell
Joseph Morales
Moneyline (-285) vs Joseph Morales
Moneyline (-285) vs Joseph Morales
Proj: --
Joseph Morales won The Ultimate Fighter season 33 this past summer in an eye-opening performance where he was a huge underdog. Despite the odds being against him, he dominated the fight and showed he is a UFC flyweight contender. Matt Schnell has been in the UFC since 2016, but his 7-7, 1 NC record shows he is very inconsistent. Morales should be able to take Schnell down and dominate him on the mat like others before him have done as well. Take Morales to win this fight as a -285 favorite, and look for him to win this fight by submission.
Uros Medic
Muslim Salikhov
Moneyline (+142) vs Muslim Salikhov
Moneyline (+142) vs Muslim Salikhov
Proj: --
Muslim Salikhov might be 41, but he’s still fighting at a high level right now, having won three straight fights, including a massive upset win over Carlos Leal in his last bout. Salikhov is one of the top strikers in the UFC welterweight division and is hard to beat in a standup fight. Uros Medic is a fun fighter to watch, having never gone to the scorecards, win or lose. However, he is very hittable and does not have the best chin or striking defense. Going against a stud striker like Salikhov, I like the dog to pull through here with a TKO win. Take Salikhov at +142 odds.
David Onama
Steve Garcia
Moneyline (-130) vs Steve Garcia
Moneyline (-130) vs Steve Garcia
Proj: --
Steve Garcia is 7-2 in the UFC, including going a perfect 6-0 as a featherweight with five knockouts. He has looked incredible in this weight class, and he has earned this opportunity to headline a UFC with this string of impressive victories. David Onama has also looked great lately with a 6-2 UFC record, including a 5-1 record as a featherweight, but he has also taken quite a bit of damage in his recent fights. I like Garcia to win this fight by knockout as a -130 favorite.
Ketlen Vieira
Norma Dumont
Moneyline (-142) vs Norma Dumont
Moneyline (-142) vs Norma Dumont
Proj: --
Norma Dumont is 8-2 in the UFC, and she has won her last five fights in a row, including going 2-0 in the UFC women’s bantamweight division. She is a solid grappler who also has improved striking, making her one of the best fighters in the weight class. Her opponent, Ketlen Vieira, is a very solid fighter, but one who strikes me more as a gatekeeper rather than a legit contender. This is a winnable fight for Dumont, and I expect her to win a decision as a -142 favorite.
Phil Rowe
Seokhyeon Ko
Moneyline (-205) vs Seokhyeon Ko
Moneyline (-205) vs Seokhyeon Ko
Proj: --
Seokhyeon Ko won his UFC debut this summer over Oban Elliott as a +350 underdog in a fight where he was able to take down and control his opponent for the majority of the three rounds. It was an impressive UFC debut, and it showed that Ko is a force to be reckoned with at 170 lbs. Phil Rowe is a fun fighter to watch with huge knockout power, but his 4-3 record shows how inconsistent he is, and his 56% takedown defense isn’t good. Look for Ko to win this fight as a -205 favorite by taking down Rowe and controlling him on the mat with his wrestling in this fight.
Ciryl Gane
Tom Aspinall
SGP (-165) vs Tom Aspinall
SGP (-165) vs Tom Aspinall
Proj: --
Tom Aspinall is 8-1 in the UFC with all of his wins coming by stoppage. The UFC heavyweight champion is one of the best heavyweights we have ever seen in MMA, and he keeps getting better every time he steps into the cage. Ciryl Gane is a very good fighter in his own right, but we have seen holes in his ground game that Aspinall will look to exploit in this matchup. Look for Aspinall to get the fight to the ground early on and finish it. Let’s take Aspinall with under 2.5 rounds in a SGP to cut down the juice and get him to win this fight at -165 odds for a wager.
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